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ESPN vs Vegas: Utah Jazz win totals for the 2022-23 season

By Jonah Kubicek

LOS ANGELES, CA - JUNE 18: Donovan Mitchell #45 of the Utah Jazz watches from the bench as the Los Angeles Clippers mount a comeback during the second half in Game Six of the Western Conference second-round playoff series at Staples Center on June 18, 2021 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CA - JUNE 18: Donovan Mitchell #45 of the Utah Jazz watches from the bench as the Los Angeles Clippers mount a comeback during the second half in Game Six of the Western Conference second-round playoff series at Staples Center on June 18, 2021 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images) /
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With a lot of uncertainty still surrounding the Utah Jazz, it’s difficult to place an estimate on their win total next season. Will Donovan Mitchell be back? Will the Jazz even try to win games? Will any of the young role players they got in the Rudy Gobert trade break out? Depending on the answer to that question, the Jazz could be a playoff team or be headed for the loaded NBA Draft lottery.

Utah Jazz: How many wins should fans expect from the team in 2022-23?

Draft Kings sportsbook places the Utah Jazz at 32.5 wins next season. Are Rudy Gobert and Royce O’Neale really worth 17 games? Those odds could change without any notice, so as soon as the Jazz make a move–if they ever do–the odds could shift depending on what the Vegas people think.

The much more interesting calculation is the one made by the fine folks at ESPN. They seem to think the Utah Jazz will only win 26 games next year. That’s where the sportsbooks have the Oklahoma City Thunder. Even without Mitchell, I think the Jazz will be better than that.

The ESPN guestimate is very intriguing for me because ESPN is a news outlet. They have no money to make or gain based on how many people wager on the over or under from their number, so it stands to reason that 26 wins is a very unbiased number. That being said, if you can find a sportsbook that has the odds set in the twenties, I would jump right on that. As the Jazz currently sit, I think they could win 40 games.

Next. A King's sized ransom for Donovan Mitchell. dark

With no trade for Mitchell in sight, I would place money on any casino that sets the win total around 37 games. The Jazz may even make moves to get even better, so I think ESPN’s stagnant number is rather hasty, as there is still a lot of uncertainty.

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